Scouting Report
Colby Cave holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cave on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pietila wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cave shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pietila 48.0% vs Cave 49.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pietila 55.5%
Defensive zone
Cave 51.1%
Neutral zone
Pietila 53.9%
Result
Blake Pietila favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Pietila
Cave
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pietila
Cave
Last 6: Pietila 2-4 Cave
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pietila
Cave
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cave
1
3
Pietila
Cave
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pietila
Cave
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (101)
50.1% (445)
-3.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
41.7% (12)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
41.9% (43)
-3.0%
On power play, Pietila has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cave shoots left. Pietila is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Pietila shoots left. Cave is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Pietila
Cave
Home
47.5% (40)
46.8% (233)
Away
46.0% (87)
51.3% (267)
By Period
Pietila
Cave
P1
34.2%
46.3%
P2
45.7%
48.3%
P3
57.1%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pietila
38.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Cave
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Blake Pietila |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Colby Cave |
| Mar 13, 2019 | 1 | 09:37 | Neutral | Colby Cave |