Scouting Report
Aaron Gagnon holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagnon 51.6% vs Wheeler 41.1% (+19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagnon 59.0%
Defensive zone
Gagnon 65.9%
Neutral zone
Gagnon 62.5%
Result
Aaron Gagnon favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Gagnon
Wheeler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gagnon
Wheeler
Last 7: Gagnon 4-3 Wheeler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagnon
1
0
Gagnon
Wheeler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gagnon
Wheeler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagnon
Wheeler
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (52)
36.9% (122)
+18.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
35.7% (14)
-35.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
16.7% (12)
+33.3%
On power play, Wheeler has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wheeler shoots right. Gagnon is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Gagnon shoots right. Wheeler is 31.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Gagnon
Wheeler
Home
55.0% (20)
30.4% (79)
Away
54.3% (35)
40.6% (69)
By Period
Gagnon
Wheeler
P1
52.9%
30.2%
P2
52.2%
37.7%
P3
60.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
41.7%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagnon
52.0%▬
51.3%
54.5%
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 04:56 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:20 | Neutral | Aaron Gagnon |