Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Sutter 51.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Wheeler leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 74.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 93.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 69.0%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Wheeler
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Wheeler
Sutter
Last 10: Wheeler 6-4 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
6
2
Wheeler
Sutter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Sutter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Wheeler
Sutter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
52.8% (846)
-4.5%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
60.0% (15)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
47.3% (241)
-8.4%
On power play, Sutter has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Wheeler is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Wheeler shoots right. Sutter is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Sutter
Home
50.8% (183)
51.2% (529)
Away
40.8% (179)
52.2% (573)
By Period
Wheeler
Sutter
P1
44.1%
50.9%
P2
48.7%
52.8%
P3
45.2%
52.1%
OT
40.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 21, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |