Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 48.9%). Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Sutter 49.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 74.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 77.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Wheeler
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wheeler
Sutter
Last 5: Wheeler 2-3 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Wheeler
Sutter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Sutter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
1
Wheeler
Sutter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
49.6% (274)
+1.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
50.0% (26)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
46.2% (78)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Wheeler is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Wheeler shoots right. Sutter is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Sutter
Home
52.8% (352)
46.6% (178)
Away
46.3% (300)
51.0% (200)
By Period
Wheeler
Sutter
P1
46.8%
43.5%
P2
57.7%
51.7%
P3
44.8%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |