Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Little 50.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 73.1%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 51.7%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 59.7%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Wheeler
Little
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wheeler
Little
Last 6: Wheeler 2-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Wheeler
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Wheeler
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Little
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Little
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
50.9% (8,646)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
55.5% (1,593)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
43.5% (1,406)
-7.8%
On power play, Little has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Little is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,837).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Little
Home
47.5% (883)
52.9% (5,664)
Away
44.2% (822)
48.6% (6,017)
By Period
Wheeler
Little
P1
45.0%
50.9%
P2
48.2%
49.6%
P3
44.5%
51.5%
OT
37.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Bryan Little |