Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 31.9% vs right-shot opponents — Little shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 41.1% vs Little 46.5% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 54.9%
Defensive zone
Little 50.1%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 55.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Wheeler
Little
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wheeler
Little
Last 6: Wheeler 2-4 Little
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
2
Wheeler
Little
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
0
1
Wheeler
Little
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Little
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Little
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (122)
46.6% (982)
-9.7%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
52.4% (166)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
37.6% (170)
-20.9%
On penalty kill, Little has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Little shoots right. Wheeler is 31.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Wheeler shoots right. Little is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (444).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Little
Home
30.4% (79)
48.6% (623)
Away
40.6% (69)
44.2% (708)
By Period
Wheeler
Little
P1
30.2%
46.3%
P2
37.7%
44.2%
P3
38.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
16.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 28, 2010 | 1 | 12:22 | Neutral | Bryan Little |