Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Coyle 48.8% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 72.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 69.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Wheeler
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Wheeler
Coyle
Last 10: Wheeler 4-6 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
4
Wheeler
Coyle
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
0
Wheeler
Coyle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
3
Wheeler
Coyle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.4% (7,856)
-2.7%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
50.0% (792)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
43.6% (1,090)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,759).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Coyle
Home
47.5% (883)
49.8% (4,835)
Away
44.2% (822)
47.9% (4,903)
By Period
Wheeler
Coyle
P1
45.0%
49.4%
P2
48.2%
48.3%
P3
44.5%
48.8%
OT
37.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 14:14 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 06:06 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |