Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Tierney 49.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Wheeler leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 53.3%
Defensive zone
Tierney 91.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 77.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 75.8%
24.2%
75.8%
Wheeler
Tierney
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Wheeler
Tierney
Last 10: Wheeler 6-4 Tierney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Tierney
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
3
2
Wheeler
Tierney
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
6
1
Wheeler
Tierney
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Tierney
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.3% (5,342)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
52.3% (342)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
46.6% (857)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tierney shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Tierney is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,404).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Tierney
Home
47.5% (883)
50.6% (3,270)
Away
44.2% (822)
47.7% (3,271)
By Period
Wheeler
Tierney
P1
45.0%
49.3%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
44.5%
50.5%
OT
37.5%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 12:55 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |