Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Giroux 56.8% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Wheeler leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Giroux 80.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 92.9%
Neutral zone
Giroux 88.3%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 85.2%
14.8%
85.2%
Wheeler
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Wheeler
Giroux
Last 10: Wheeler 7-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
1
Wheeler
Giroux
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Giroux
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
55.8% (13,861)
-9.1%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
60.5% (4,075)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
57.4% (2,518)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Giroux
Home
47.5% (883)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
44.2% (822)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Wheeler
Giroux
P1
45.0%
57.5%
P2
48.2%
56.2%
P3
44.5%
57.3%
OT
37.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |