Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 48.6% vs Brassard 48.8% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 50.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 52.0%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 56.1%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Wheeler
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wheeler
Brassard
Last 5: Wheeler 4-1 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
1
Wheeler
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (24)
48.5% (1,162)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
49.7% (181)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
51.5% (33)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Wheeler is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Wheeler shoots right. Brassard is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Brassard
Home
47.8% (23)
51.7% (689)
Away
44.0% (25)
45.9% (687)
By Period
Wheeler
Brassard
P1
57.1%
48.1%
P2
43.8%
51.8%
P3
40.0%
45.9%
OT
33.3%
52.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.8%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |