Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Arnott 50.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 50.6%
Defensive zone
Arnott 50.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 51.8%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Wheeler
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wheeler
Arnott
Last 5: Wheeler 2-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Wheeler
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
49.7% (1,444)
-3.0%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
53.8% (182)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
40.0% (15)
-4.3%
On power play, Arnott has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Wheeler is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Wheeler shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Arnott
Home
47.5% (883)
52.1% (891)
Away
44.2% (822)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Wheeler
Arnott
P1
45.0%
46.1%
P2
48.2%
53.6%
P3
44.5%
50.1%
OT
37.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |