Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 31.9% vs right-shot opponents — Arnott shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 41.1% vs Arnott 50.2% (-15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 55.2%
Defensive zone
Arnott 51.8%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 50.6%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Wheeler
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wheeler
Arnott
Last 5: Wheeler 2-3 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Wheeler
Arnott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (122)
49.0% (777)
-12.1%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
58.1% (93)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
30.0% (10)
-13.3%
On power play, Arnott has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Wheeler is 31.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Wheeler shoots right. Arnott is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Arnott
Home
30.4% (79)
51.1% (460)
Away
40.6% (69)
49.3% (434)
By Period
Wheeler
Arnott
P1
30.2%
45.3%
P2
37.7%
54.2%
P3
38.1%
49.8%
Final 5 min
16.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 15, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |