Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Goc on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Goc 52.3% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 84.3%
Defensive zone
Goc 65.5%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 60.9%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Wheeler
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wheeler
Goc
Last 8: Wheeler 3-5 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wheeler
Goc
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
1
2
Wheeler
Goc
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Wheeler
Goc
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
53.0% (3,301)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
58.0% (314)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
47.4% (728)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Goc
Home
47.5% (883)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
44.2% (822)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Wheeler
Goc
P1
45.0%
51.9%
P2
48.2%
53.1%
P3
44.5%
52.4%
OT
37.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 8, 2013 | OT | 02:37 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Apr 3, 2012 | OT | 00:27 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |