Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 86.0%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.6%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 55.3%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Wheeler
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wheeler
Stajan
Last 6: Wheeler 2-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
0
Wheeler
Stajan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Wheeler
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
50.2% (4,944)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
43.2% (176)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
46.1% (864)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Stajan has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Stajan
Home
47.5% (883)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
44.2% (822)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Wheeler
Stajan
P1
45.0%
50.3%
P2
48.2%
48.5%
P3
44.5%
49.4%
OT
37.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2014 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | OT | 03:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |