Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.4% vs Stajan 48.2% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 73.6%
Defensive zone
Stajan 71.3%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 53.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Wheeler
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wheeler
Stajan
Last 5: Wheeler 1-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
Wheeler
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (27)
49.2% (886)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
37.1% (35)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
44.6% (175)
-11.3%
On power play, Wheeler has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Wheeler is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Wheeler shoots right. Stajan is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Stajan
Home
47.8% (23)
51.2% (572)
Away
23.5% (17)
44.7% (524)
By Period
Wheeler
Stajan
P1
35.3%
48.4%
P2
25.0%
45.2%
P3
71.4%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
37.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | OT | 03:58 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |