Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Koivu 54.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 74.2%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 58.0%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 68.7%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Wheeler
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Wheeler
Koivu
Last 10: Wheeler 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
2
Wheeler
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Wheeler
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Wheeler
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
54.0% (9,465)
-7.3%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
58.6% (2,100)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
48.9% (1,688)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Koivu is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,595).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Koivu
Home
47.5% (883)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
44.2% (822)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Wheeler
Koivu
P1
45.0%
53.5%
P2
48.2%
54.6%
P3
44.5%
54.0%
OT
37.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 3, 2016 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |