Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Bonino 50.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Wheeler leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Wheeler 75.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.6%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Wheeler
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Wheeler
Bonino
Last 10: Wheeler 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
6
4
Wheeler
Bonino
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
5
Wheeler
Bonino
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.9%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
54.1% (972)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
44.6% (1,693)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Bonino
Home
47.5% (883)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
44.2% (822)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Wheeler
Bonino
P1
45.0%
50.6%
P2
48.2%
48.5%
P3
44.5%
51.1%
OT
37.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 14:20 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:20 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |