Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.8% vs Bonino 53.9% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 81.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 64.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 61.4%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Wheeler
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Wheeler
Bonino
Last 7: Wheeler 2-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Wheeler
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Wheeler
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (294)
56.4% (771)
-8.1%
Power Play
34.0% (50)
60.0% (30)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (18)
43.8% (169)
-4.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Wheeler is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Wheeler shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Bonino
Home
50.8% (183)
56.5% (531)
Away
40.8% (179)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Wheeler
Bonino
P1
44.1%
56.7%
P2
48.7%
48.1%
P3
45.2%
58.0%
OT
40.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
39.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 20, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |