Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 47.9% vs Berglund 50.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 77.7%
Defensive zone
Berglund 59.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 57.9%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Wheeler
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wheeler
Berglund
Last 5: Wheeler 1-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Berglund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
4
Wheeler
Berglund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (84)
50.5% (982)
-4.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.7% (79)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
40.7% (108)
-26.4%
On power play, Wheeler has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Wheeler is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Wheeler shoots right. Berglund is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Berglund
Home
48.5% (33)
50.7% (548)
Away
44.3% (61)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Wheeler
Berglund
P1
57.1%
49.6%
P2
36.6%
50.5%
P3
51.7%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.7%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |