Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.9%). Look for Wheeler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wheeler wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 49.9% vs Hintz 49.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 52.4%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 57.2%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 53.6%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Wheeler
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Wheeler
Hintz
Last 5: Wheeler 5-0 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
1
0
Wheeler
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wheeler
4
0
Wheeler
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (536)
51.6% (285)
-1.0%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
44.0% (50)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (48)
30.0% (10)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Wheeler has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Wheeler is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (452).
Wheeler shoots right. Hintz is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Hintz
Home
52.8% (352)
52.3% (176)
Away
46.3% (300)
47.3% (169)
By Period
Wheeler
Hintz
P1
46.8%
48.2%
P2
57.7%
53.4%
P3
44.8%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
49.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 3 | 11:49 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |