Scouting Report
Stephen Weiss holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wheeler wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 41.1% vs Weiss 53.6% (-18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 66.8%
Defensive zone
Wheeler 62.8%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 65.4%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Wheeler
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wheeler
Weiss
Last 5: Wheeler 1-4 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
0
2
Wheeler
Weiss
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Wheeler
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (122)
53.3% (942)
-16.4%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
56.1% (212)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
55.9% (93)
-39.2%
On penalty kill, Weiss has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Wheeler is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Wheeler shoots right. Weiss is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (489).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Weiss
Home
30.4% (79)
55.1% (680)
Away
40.6% (69)
52.4% (599)
By Period
Wheeler
Weiss
P1
30.2%
53.1%
P2
37.7%
57.4%
P3
38.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
16.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2010 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |