Blake Wheeler vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Wheeler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 46.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 82.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 65.8%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Wheeler
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wheeler
Karlsson
Last 6: Wheeler 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wheeler
2
1
Wheeler
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Wheeler
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Wheeler
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (1,369)
51.8% (7,849)
-5.1%
Power Play
46.9% (207)
54.8% (1,048)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (129)
44.2% (1,109)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Wheeler is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,172).
Wheeler shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Karlsson
Home
47.5% (883)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
44.2% (822)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Wheeler
Karlsson
P1
45.0%
50.3%
P2
48.2%
51.3%
P3
44.5%
52.4%
OT
37.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Blake Wheeler |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |