Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 41.4% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 44.1% vs McBain 46.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 61.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Groulx
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Groulx
McBain
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Groulx
McBain
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
2
1
Groulx
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (393)
48.1% (2,322)
-3.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
44.6% (56)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (94)
35.6% (309)
-0.5%
On even strength, McBain has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Groulx is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Groulx shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Groulx
McBain
Home
50.0% (244)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
36.1% (252)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Groulx
McBain
P1
45.1%
47.1%
P2
43.9%
47.4%
P3
40.4%
45.4%
OT
33.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
24.0%▼
37.5%
42.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |