Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.3% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.0%
Defensive zone
Groulx 82.5%
Neutral zone
Groulx 69.3%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Groulx
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Groulx
Scheifele
Last 6: Groulx 1-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Groulx
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Groulx
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Groulx
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (371)
46.3% (12,036)
-0.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
50.2% (2,563)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (84)
41.6% (598)
-4.7%
On power play, Scheifele has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Groulx is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (164).
Groulx shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Groulx
Scheifele
Home
49.8% (241)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
38.3% (222)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Groulx
Scheifele
P1
45.3%
48.2%
P2
44.8%
45.6%
P3
42.9%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
44.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |