Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Groulx wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 47.0% vs Hartman 45.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 63.7%
Defensive zone
Groulx 57.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 52.4%
Result
Bo Groulx favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Groulx
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Groulx
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Groulx
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (65)
44.8% (830)
+4.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.8% (92)
-47.8%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (18)
37.5% (16)
-9.7%
On power play, Hartman has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Groulx is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Groulx shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Groulx
Hartman
Home
52.8% (36)
45.0% (515)
Away
36.7% (49)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Groulx
Hartman
P1
50.0%
46.5%
P2
40.6%
39.9%
P3
41.9%
48.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
48.0%▲
42.5%
43.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |