Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Groulx on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Groulx wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Groulx 45.6% vs Aho 51.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 96.0%
Defensive zone
Aho 71.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 76.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Groulx
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Groulx
Aho
Last 5: Groulx 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Groulx
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Groulx
3
0
Groulx
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Groulx
1
0
Groulx
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Groulx
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (306)
50.1% (6,415)
-4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
59.1% (1,297)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (66)
46.0% (446)
-6.6%
On power play, Aho has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Groulx is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Groulx shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Groulx
Aho
Home
49.3% (205)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
38.7% (173)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Groulx
Aho
P1
44.4%
51.2%
P2
46.0%
52.1%
P3
43.1%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Groulx
38.0%▼
41.5%
44.4%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Groulx |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Bo Groulx |