Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Horvat 53.5% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 85.9%
Defensive zone
Kempe 88.1%
Neutral zone
Kempe 84.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Kempe
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kempe
Horvat
Last 8: Kempe 1-7 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
2
Kempe
Horvat
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
5
Kempe
Horvat
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
54.0% (1,606)
-11.4%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
52.9% (308)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.0% (104)
-5.6%
On even strength, Horvat has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Kempe
Horvat
Home
43.6% (369)
57.2% (987)
Away
41.6% (370)
50.2% (1,031)
By Period
Kempe
Horvat
P1
40.0%
53.9%
P2
44.3%
53.7%
P3
43.6%
53.6%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | OT | 01:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |