Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kerfoot wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 43.1% vs Horvat 52.7% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 70.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 71.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Kerfoot
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kerfoot
Horvat
Last 8: Kerfoot 2-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
3
Kerfoot
Horvat
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Kerfoot
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
2
Kerfoot
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (252)
50.7% (955)
-9.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
65.3% (213)
-19.8%
Penalty Kill
36.6% (41)
43.9% (57)
-7.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kerfoot is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Kerfoot shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Horvat
Home
40.3% (139)
54.1% (599)
Away
41.2% (165)
51.8% (626)
By Period
Kerfoot
Horvat
P1
36.8%
50.8%
P2
42.1%
50.0%
P3
44.6%
57.7%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
40.8%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |