Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.8% vs Horvat 54.4% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 85.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 77.7%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 77.7%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Kerfoot
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
21
(34 meetings)
13
21
Kerfoot
Horvat
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
10
Kerfoot
Horvat
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
4
Kerfoot
Horvat
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
7
Kerfoot
Horvat
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,831)
53.9% (12,606)
-5.2%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
61.0% (2,699)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
47.1% (1,494)
-7.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,110).
Kerfoot shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Horvat
Home
51.0% (1,786)
56.0% (8,355)
Away
44.3% (1,699)
52.9% (8,445)
By Period
Kerfoot
Horvat
P1
47.2%
54.1%
P2
46.0%
54.4%
P3
50.4%
55.0%
OT
29.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
48.9%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
47.7%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 26, 2018 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |