Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nieves on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nieves shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nieves 43.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.2%
Defensive zone
Nieves 52.7%
Neutral zone
Nieves 50.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Horvat
Nieves
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Nieves
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Nieves
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Nieves
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Nieves
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nieves
1
2
Horvat
Nieves
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nieves
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
43.1% (457)
+10.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
75.0% (4)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
14.3% (14)
+32.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nieves shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,575).
Horvat shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nieves
Home
56.0% (8,277)
48.3% (230)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
37.1% (245)
By Period
Horvat
Nieves
P1
54.1%
41.1%
P2
54.4%
44.6%
P3
54.9%
41.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 18:04 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |