Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Howden 50.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 75.1%
Neutral zone
Howden 70.0%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Horvat
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Howden
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
2
Horvat
Howden
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
Horvat
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
2
Horvat
Howden
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
50.4% (381)
+4.9%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
55.6% (18)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
48.3% (29)
-1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Howden is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Horvat
Howden
Home
58.2% (469)
47.7% (195)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.8% (233)
By Period
Horvat
Howden
P1
59.6%
51.1%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
55.5%
48.8%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Brett Howden |