Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Rowney 49.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 63.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 64.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Horvat
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Horvat
Rowney
Last 5: Horvat 3-2 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Rowney
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
0
1
Horvat
Rowney
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Rowney
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
49.7% (298)
+4.3%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
66.7% (3)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
45.7% (46)
+4.3%
On power play, Rowney has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rowney
Home
57.2% (987)
51.0% (143)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
48.0% (204)
By Period
Horvat
Rowney
P1
53.9%
49.6%
P2
53.7%
47.7%
P3
53.6%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |