Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Wagner 52.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 70.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 58.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Horvat
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Wagner
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Wagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Wagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Wagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
55.4% (258)
-2.7%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
0.0% (2)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
35.7% (14)
+4.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Wagner is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Horvat
Wagner
Home
53.1% (723)
56.7% (120)
Away
48.8% (770)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Horvat
Wagner
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
52.6%
53.7%
P3
48.8%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:31 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |