Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Wagner 49.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 91.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 69.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Horvat
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Horvat
Wagner
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
0
Horvat
Wagner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
4
Horvat
Wagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Wagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
51.5% (332)
+1.6%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
55.6% (9)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
41.9% (129)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Horvat is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Horvat shoots left. Wagner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Home / Away
Horvat
Wagner
Home
53.0% (673)
49.8% (233)
Away
54.5% (651)
48.1% (237)
By Period
Horvat
Wagner
P1
51.9%
45.9%
P2
54.8%
47.8%
P3
54.3%
52.7%
OT
58.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |