Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 52.7% vs Brown 48.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Horvat
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Brown
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Brown
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
1
Horvat
Brown
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (955)
45.5% (11)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
43.8% (16)
+0.1%
On even strength, Horvat has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Horvat is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Horvat shoots left. Brown is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Horvat
Brown
Home
54.1% (599)
37.5% (16)
Away
51.8% (626)
54.5% (11)
By Period
Horvat
Brown
P1
50.8%
25.0%
P2
50.0%
61.5%
P3
57.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Connor Brown |