Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Desharnais shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Desharnais 50.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Desharnais leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Desharnais 74.1%
Defensive zone
Desharnais 53.3%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 64.8%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Horvat
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Horvat
Desharnais
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
3
Horvat
Desharnais
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Desharnais
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
5
Horvat
Desharnais
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
49.9% (5,585)
+4.0%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
58.2% (1,058)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
39.1% (128)
+8.0%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Desharnais is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,268).
Home / Away
Horvat
Desharnais
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.0% (3,426)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.9% (3,381)
By Period
Horvat
Desharnais
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
54.4%
53.1%
P3
55.0%
48.5%
OT
49.6%
51.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2018 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 26, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 01:16 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | David Desharnais |