Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Desharnais 50.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 53.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Horvat
Desharnais
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Desharnais
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Desharnais
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
1
2
Horvat
Desharnais
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Desharnais
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
0
1
Horvat
Desharnais
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Desharnais
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
52.3% (304)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
40.7% (27)
+19.8%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
0.0% (1)
+44.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Desharnais shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Desharnais is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Horvat
Desharnais
Home
52.0% (767)
52.3% (195)
Away
48.8% (731)
49.6% (137)
By Period
Horvat
Desharnais
P1
47.1%
56.2%
P2
49.4%
46.1%
P3
54.3%
53.3%
OT
57.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | David Desharnais |