Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Legwand on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Legwand 46.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Legwand 71.2%
Defensive zone
Legwand 67.5%
Neutral zone
Legwand 65.0%
Result
David Legwand favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Horvat
Legwand
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Legwand
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Legwand
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
0
1
Horvat
Legwand
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Legwand
1
3
Horvat
Legwand
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Legwand
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
48.3% (687)
+3.8%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
52.3% (107)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
36.2% (174)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Legwand shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Legwand is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Horvat
Legwand
Home
53.1% (420)
47.3% (431)
Away
49.8% (428)
46.0% (537)
By Period
Horvat
Legwand
P1
52.4%
49.3%
P2
49.3%
47.0%
P3
52.8%
43.8%
OT
42.9%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Legwand
42.0%▬
43.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | David Legwand |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | David Legwand |