Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Caggiula 43.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 68.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Horvat
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Caggiula
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Caggiula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Caggiula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
40.6% (276)
+9.4%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
66.7% (6)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
50.0% (2)
-5.1%
On even strength, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Caggiula is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Horvat
Caggiula
Home
52.0% (767)
46.9% (145)
Away
48.8% (731)
35.3% (139)
By Period
Horvat
Caggiula
P1
47.1%
41.1%
P2
49.4%
40.2%
P3
54.3%
43.0%
OT
57.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Drake Caggiula |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |