Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Thornton 52.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 77.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Horvat
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Horvat
Thornton
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Horvat
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Horvat
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
6
Horvat
Thornton
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
51.8% (577)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
57.7% (168)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
37.5% (8)
+2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thornton
Home
53.1% (723)
53.0% (379)
Away
48.8% (770)
52.9% (374)
By Period
Horvat
Thornton
P1
51.1%
53.3%
P2
52.6%
50.7%
P3
48.8%
54.3%
OT
57.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |