Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Ward shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Ward 48.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 13-12 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 69.4%
Defensive zone
Horvat 52.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Horvat
Ward
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
12
(25 meetings)
13
12
Horvat
Ward
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Ward
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
6
Horvat
Ward
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
4
5
Horvat
Ward
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Ward
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Ward
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
51.3% (1,186)
+2.6%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
53.4% (238)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
35.5% (366)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ward shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Home / Away
Horvat
Ward
Home
56.0% (8,355)
50.3% (870)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
46.5% (921)
By Period
Horvat
Ward
P1
54.1%
47.6%
P2
54.4%
47.5%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
OT
49.6%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Joel Ward |