Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Doan 44.1% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 65.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 66.9%
Neutral zone
Doan 58.6%
Result
Josh Doan favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Horvat
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Doan
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Doan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
1
Horvat
Doan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
38.7% (93)
+15.2%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
44.4% (18)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
0.0% (2)
+47.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Horvat is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,086).
Horvat shoots left. Doan is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Horvat
Doan
Home
56.0% (8,355)
30.4% (56)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (57)
By Period
Horvat
Doan
P1
54.1%
37.5%
P2
54.4%
47.5%
P3
55.0%
28.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Doan
40.0%▬
38.9%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Josh Doan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Josh Doan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Josh Doan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |