Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.5%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Jokinen 51.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 72.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Horvat
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Jokinen
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Horvat
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Horvat
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
40.3% (72)
+12.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
56.8% (132)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
53.4% (58)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Jokinen is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jokinen
Home
53.1% (723)
58.7% (150)
Away
48.8% (770)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Horvat
Jokinen
P1
51.1%
53.0%
P2
52.6%
46.2%
P3
48.8%
50.6%
OT
57.6%
77.8%
Final 5 min
50.5%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2016 | OT | 00:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | OT | 03:27 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |