Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 58.5%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 57.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Horvat
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Horvat
Celebrini
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
3
Horvat
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
5
Horvat
Celebrini
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
48.2% (924)
+7.1%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
52.8% (108)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
56.0% (25)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Horvat
Celebrini
Home
58.2% (469)
47.8% (523)
Away
54.0% (544)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Horvat
Celebrini
P1
59.6%
47.8%
P2
53.1%
47.4%
P3
55.5%
51.1%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |