Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Celebrini 49.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 54.4%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 55.4%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 56.0%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Horvat
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Horvat
Celebrini
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
Horvat
Celebrini
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Horvat
Celebrini
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (493)
48.3% (717)
+8.1%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
54.9% (91)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (83)
61.9% (21)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Horvat shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Horvat
Celebrini
Home
58.8% (391)
47.3% (412)
Away
54.4% (353)
51.3% (417)
By Period
Horvat
Celebrini
P1
61.2%
45.6%
P2
53.1%
50.9%
P3
55.1%
51.4%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |