Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hendricks 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 58.9%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Horvat
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Horvat
Hendricks
Last 7: Horvat 4-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Hendricks
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
2
3
Horvat
Hendricks
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Hendricks
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
59.6% (329)
-6.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
46.7% (15)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
44.0% (109)
-4.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Hendricks is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hendricks
Home
53.1% (723)
52.4% (233)
Away
48.8% (770)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Horvat
Hendricks
P1
51.1%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
55.2%
P3
48.8%
55.6%
OT
57.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 6, 2016 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |