Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Peca 54.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Peca leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 67.1%
Defensive zone
Peca 58.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Horvat
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Horvat
Peca
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Peca
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
1
4
Horvat
Peca
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
2
Horvat
Peca
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
57.8% (116)
-4.7%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
0.0% (2)
+57.1%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
57.9% (19)
-4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Peca is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Horvat
Peca
Home
53.0% (673)
23.5% (17)
Away
54.5% (651)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Horvat
Peca
P1
51.9%
55.0%
P2
54.8%
58.3%
P3
54.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |