Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Chaput 50.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 73.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 67.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Horvat
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Chaput
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Chaput
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
52.4% (210)
+1.6%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
0.0% (1)
+52.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
42.4% (33)
+7.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Chaput is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Horvat
Chaput
Home
57.2% (987)
52.6% (133)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Horvat
Chaput
P1
53.9%
46.6%
P2
53.7%
50.6%
P3
53.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |