Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.1%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 43 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 68-42 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.2%
Defensive zone
Koivu 58.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.2%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Horvat
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
68
(110 meetings)
42
68
Horvat
Koivu
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
12
31
Horvat
Koivu
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
16
22
Horvat
Koivu
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
14
15
Horvat
Koivu
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
54.0% (9,465)
-0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
58.6% (2,100)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
48.9% (1,688)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,575).
Horvat shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Horvat
Koivu
Home
56.0% (8,277)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Horvat
Koivu
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
54.6%
P3
54.9%
54.0%
OT
50.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 18:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 10:09 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 2 | 10:22 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 07:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |