Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stephens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.6% vs Stephens 49.3% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 92.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 61.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 75.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.7%
79.7%
20.3%
Horvat
Stephens
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Stephens
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Stephens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stephens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephens
0
1
Horvat
Stephens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Stephens
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stephens
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,066)
50.8% (199)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (120)
42.6% (54)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephens shoots right. Horvat is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Horvat shoots left. Stephens is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stephens
Home
58.8% (724)
53.3% (122)
Away
55.3% (751)
45.0% (131)
By Period
Horvat
Stephens
P1
57.0%
52.6%
P2
57.5%
48.0%
P3
57.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
57.0%
Stephens
42.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Mitchell Stephens |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |