Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.9% vs Marleau 48.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 77.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Horvat
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Horvat
Marleau
Last 5: Horvat 5-0 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Marleau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Marleau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,134)
45.8% (48)
+10.5%
Power Play
64.3% (263)
47.6% (21)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (85)
57.1% (7)
-7.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Horvat shoots left. Marleau is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Horvat
Marleau
Home
57.3% (742)
44.4% (36)
Away
57.4% (741)
50.0% (40)
By Period
Horvat
Marleau
P1
59.0%
46.2%
P2
59.7%
33.3%
P3
53.6%
58.3%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.3%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
57.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |